Average realistic automation risk across all Foreign Service Officer profiles in the dataset.
Raw potential
47%
Realistic risk
21%
Raw potential = I/O automation ceiling. Realistic risk = adjusted for informal knowledge and social context.
Score spread
Distribution across 20 profiles.
Middle half of Foreign Service Officers score between 19% and 23%.
0%
50%
100%
p10 · 17%
25% · p90
Task breakdown by work type
On-screen work34%
Done entirely on a computer. High AI exposure — these tasks are already in the automation zone.
In-person + screen13%
Physical sensing, digital output — e.g. interviewing someone then writing a report. Partially protected.
Computer + action25%
Computer input, real-world output — needs someone to act on it, not just software.
Fully in-person28%
No computer required. Furthest from automation — the strongest human advantage.
Typical tasks
3 synthetic profiles for a Foreign Service Officer, ordered by automation exposure.
Tab between them to see how task mix drives the score difference.
TaskTimeTypeExposure
Conducting meetings and negotiations with host-country government officials, civil society leaders, and international partners to advance US policy objectives
deep expertisesocial core
19%AA
0%
Attending interagency coordination meetings, policy calls with Washington, and embassy staff briefings to align on strategy and share information
deep expertisesocial core
18%AD
12%
Drafting cables, memos, and formal diplomatic correspondence reporting on political developments, economic conditions, and security assessments to State Department headquarters
16%DD
54%
Building and maintaining a network of local contacts—journalists, academics, business leaders, opposition figures—through informal coffees and relationship cultivation
deep expertisesocial core
14%AA
0%
Planning and executing public engagement events, cultural exchanges, and press briefings to promote US interests and manage embassy communications
some context neededsocial core
12%DA
7%
Advising US citizens abroad on legal matters, visa issues, emergency assistance, and consular services
some context neededsocial core
11%DA
15%
Analyzing open-source intelligence, classified briefings, and local media to produce situational awareness reports and political risk assessments
deep expertise
6%DD
35%
TaskTimeTypeExposure
Drafting cables, memos, and formal diplomatic correspondence reporting on political developments, economic conditions, and security assessments to State Department headquarters
34%DD
49%
Conducting meetings and negotiations with host-country government officials, civil society leaders, and international partners to advance US policy objectives
deep expertisesocial core
25%AA
0%
Attending interagency coordination meetings, policy calls with Washington, and embassy staff briefings to align on strategy and share information
some context neededsocial core
15%AD
14%
Advising US citizens abroad on legal matters, visa issues, emergency assistance, and consular services
some context neededsocial core
9%DA
8%
Planning and executing public engagement events, cultural exchanges, and press briefings to promote US interests and manage embassy communications
some context neededsocial core
8%DA
15%
Analyzing open-source intelligence, classified briefings, and local media to produce situational awareness reports and political risk assessments
deep expertise
4%DD
32%
Building and maintaining a network of local contacts—journalists, academics, business leaders, opposition figures—through informal coffees and relationship cultivation
deep expertisesocial core
1%AA
4%
TaskTimeTypeExposure
Drafting cables, memos, and formal diplomatic correspondence reporting on political developments, economic conditions, and security assessments to State Department headquarters
31%DD
47%
Analyzing open-source intelligence, classified briefings, and local media to produce situational awareness reports and political risk assessments
deep expertise
31%DD
39%
Conducting meetings and negotiations with host-country government officials, civil society leaders, and international partners to advance US policy objectives
deep expertisesocial core
20%AA
0%
Building and maintaining a network of local contacts—journalists, academics, business leaders, opposition figures—through informal coffees and relationship cultivation
deep expertisesocial core
10%AA
4%
Planning and executing public engagement events, cultural exchanges, and press briefings to promote US interests and manage embassy communications
social core
2%DA
20%
Attending interagency coordination meetings, policy calls with Washington, and embassy staff briefings to align on strategy and share information
deep expertisesocial core
1%AD
11%
Advising US citizens abroad on legal matters, visa issues, emergency assistance, and consular services
some context neededsocial core
1%DA
9%
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AI tools for this role
Tools relevant to the most automatable tasks in this profession.
